WR, Philadelphia Eagles
80
Darius Cooper
22%
Darius Cooper has a 22% chance to score a touchdown against Carolina Panthers in Week 6, the 111th highest on this week's board. Philadelphia Eagles are projected for 20.0 points in 55°F with 5 mph wind. The model projects receptions 2.1, receiving yards 29.
Touchdown breakdown
20.0Projected team points
2.1Expected team TDs
16%Share of team TD chances
−15%CAR defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
4TDs this season
−5%Calibration vs real results
2.1 × 0.16 × 0.85 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.32 expected TDs = 27% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 22% chance to score. Rated long shot.Player props
80Darius CooperWR, PHI vs CARReceptions: 2.1 proj, avg 2.0
34%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.3Targets
›64%Catch rate
›2.1Model
›2.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.2Avg line 2.5Projection 2.1Ceiling 3.9
The ring shows a
34% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
80Darius CooperWR, PHI vs CARReceiving yards: 29 proj, avg 28
52%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.3Targets
›64%Catch rate
›2.1Receptions
›14.2Yards per catch
›30Model
›29Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 28.5Projection 29Ceiling 53
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 28.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 41% | 10% | 90% | 85% |
The matchup
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia EaglesSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lincoln Financial Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.