RB, Philadelphia Eagles
28
Will Shipley
18%
Will Shipley has a 18% chance to score a touchdown against Carolina Panthers in Week 6, the 154th highest on this week's board. Philadelphia Eagles are projected for 17.8 points in 55°F with 5 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
17.8Projected team points
1.9Expected team TDs
14%Share of team TD chances
+8%CAR defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Usage trend
1TDs this season
−7%Calibration vs real results
1.9 × 0.14 × 1.08 × 1.00 × 1.00 =
0.29 expected TDs = 25% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 18% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 51% | 26% | 48% | 21% |
The matchup
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia EaglesSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lincoln Financial Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.