TE, Jacksonville Jaguars
87
Nate Boerkircher
10%
Nate Boerkircher has a 10% chance to score a touchdown against Houston Texans in Week 6, the 252nd highest on this week's board. Jacksonville Jaguars are projected for 22.5 points with the forecast still pending.
Touchdown breakdown
22.5Projected team points
2.4Expected team TDs
4%Share of team TD chances
−23%HOU defense vs TEs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
+2%Calibration vs real results
2.4 × 0.04 × 0.77 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.09 expected TDs = 8% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 10% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 39% | 45% | 34% | 49% |
The matchup
Houston Texans at Jacksonville JaguarsSun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET. Wembley Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.