WR, Chicago Bears
13
Zavion Thomas
12%
Zavion Thomas has a 12% chance to score a touchdown against Atlanta Falcons in Week 6, the 236th highest on this week's board. Chicago Bears are projected for 26.3 points indoors.
Touchdown breakdown
26.3Projected team points
2.8Expected team TDs
5%Share of team TD chances
−3%ATL defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−1%Calibration vs real results
2.8 × 0.05 × 0.97 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.14 expected TDs = 13% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 12% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | 3% | 11% | 10% | 22% |
The matchup
Chicago Bears at Atlanta FalconsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.