RB, Washington Commanders
30
Austin Ekeler
16%
Austin Ekeler has a 16% chance to score a touchdown against San Francisco 49ers in Week 6, the 187th highest on this week's board. Washington Commanders are projected for 22.0 points in 63°F with 13 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
22.0Projected team points
2.3Expected team TDs
9%Share of team TD chances
−8%SF defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−2%Calibration vs real results
2.3 × 0.09 × 0.92 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.20 expected TDs = 18% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 16% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | – | – | 27% | 10% |
The matchup
Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ersMon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET. Levi's Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.