RB, Denver Broncos
28
Tyler Badie
14%
Tyler Badie has a 14% chance to score a touchdown against Seattle Seahawks in Week 6, the 204th highest on this week's board. Denver Broncos are projected for 22.6 points with the forecast still pending.
Touchdown breakdown
22.6Projected team points
2.4Expected team TDs
10%Share of team TD chances
−2%SEA defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
+4%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−8%Calibration vs real results
2.4 × 0.10 × 0.98 × 1.00 × 1.04 =
0.25 expected TDs = 22% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 14% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | 26% | 18% | 18% | 11% |
The matchup
Seattle Seahawks at Denver BroncosThu, Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET. Empower Field at Mile High. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.