RB, Kansas City Chiefs
10
Emmett Johnson
19%
Emmett Johnson has a 19% chance to score a touchdown against Los Angeles Chargers in Week 6, the 129th highest on this week's board. Kansas City Chiefs are projected for 25.3 points in 67°F with 12 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
25.3Projected team points
2.7Expected team TDs
8%Share of team TD chances
+4%LAC defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
−8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
+0%Calibration vs real results
2.7 × 0.08 × 1.04 × 1.00 × 0.92 =
0.21 expected TDs = 19% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 19% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 18% | 27% | 27% | Bye |
The matchup
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City ChiefsSun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET. GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.