WR, Las Vegas Raiders
82
Cody White
26%
Cody White has a 26% chance to score a touchdown against Buffalo Bills in Week 6, the 82nd highest on this week's board. Las Vegas Raiders are projected for 24.5 points indoors. The model projects receiving yards 27.
Touchdown breakdown
24.5Projected team points
2.6Expected team TDs
13%Share of team TD chances
+22%BUF defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
3TDs this season
−10%Calibration vs real results
2.6 × 0.13 × 1.22 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.45 expected TDs = 36% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 26% chance to score. Rated solid.Player props
82Cody WhiteWR, LV vs BUFReceiving yards: 27 proj, avg 22
63%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.3Targets
›50%Catch rate
›1.6Receptions
›17.9Yards per catch
›29Model
›27Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
+13%BUF vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 21.5Projection 27Ceiling 49
The ring shows a
63% chance he goes over 21.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 11% | 21% | 62% | 62% |
The matchup
Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas RaidersSun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET. Allegiant Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.