BUFBuffalo Bills29.0projected
4:25 PM ETSun, Oct 18
BUF -220LV +205LV +4.5O/U 53.5No weather impact
4days00hrs09min07secLVLas Vegas Raiders24.5projected
Allegiant StadiumDome
GrassDome
72°FTemperature
0 mphWind
0%Rain chance
61.7Projected plays per team
Played indoors. The model applies no weather adjustment.
Touchdown chances
Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders
Player props
8Kirk CousinsQB, LV vs BUFPassing yards: 276 proj, avg 254
65%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Pass attempts
›7.4Yards per attempt
›284Model
›276Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+5%BUF pass defense
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Dome
Floor 199Avg line 253.5Projection 276Ceiling 354
The ring shows a
65% chance he goes over 253.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
82Cody WhiteWR, LV vs BUFReceiving yards: 27 proj, avg 22
63%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.3Targets
›50%Catch rate
›1.6Receptions
›17.9Yards per catch
›29Model
›27Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
+13%BUF vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 21.5Projection 27Ceiling 49
The ring shows a
63% chance he goes over 21.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Josh AllenQB, BUF vs LVPassing yards: 259 proj, avg 242
62%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Pass attempts
›8.5Yards per attempt
›265Model
›259Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+6%LV pass defense
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Dome
Floor 186Avg line 241.5Projection 259Ceiling 332
The ring shows a
62% chance he goes over 241.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
1Tre TuckerWR, LV vs BUFReceiving yards: 61 proj, avg 49
62%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›15%Target share
›5.9Targets
›70%Catch rate
›4.1Receptions
›15.9Yards per catch
›65Model
›61Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
+13%BUF vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 13Avg line 49.5Projection 61Ceiling 109
The ring shows a
62% chance he goes over 49.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Josh AllenQB, BUF vs LVRushing yards: 53 proj, avg 43
60%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Run rate
›30.6Team carries
›27%Carry share
›8.4Carries
›6.7Yards per carry
›56Model
›53Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+3%Game script
+6%LV run D
+17%LV vs QBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 43.5Projection 53Ceiling 100
The ring shows a
60% chance he goes over 43.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2Ashton JeantyRB, LV vs BUFReceiving yards: 39 proj, avg 34
59%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›5.4Targets
›76%Catch rate
›4.1Receptions
›10.0Yards per catch
›41Model
›39Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
+11%BUF vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 8Avg line 33.5Projection 39Ceiling 70
The ring shows a
59% chance he goes over 33.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2Ashton JeantyRB, LV vs BUFReceptions: 4.1 proj, avg 3.9
58%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›5.4Targets
›76%Catch rate
›4.1Model
›4.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
+11%BUF vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 1.5Avg line 3.5Projection 4.1Ceiling 6.6
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
86Dalton KincaidTE, BUF vs LVReceiving yards: 60 proj, avg 52
58%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›4.1Targets
›82%Catch rate
›3.4Receptions
›18.6Yards per catch
›62Model
›60Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+20%LV vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 12Avg line 52.5Projection 60Ceiling 107
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 52.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4James CookRB, BUF vs LVRushing yards: 113 proj, avg 102
57%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Run rate
›30.6Team carries
›66%Carry share
›20.2Carries
›5.7Yards per carry
›116Model
›113Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+3%Game script
+6%LV run D
−1%LV vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 41Avg line 102.5Projection 113Ceiling 185
The ring shows a
57% chance he goes over 102.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
1Tre TuckerWR, LV vs BUFReceptions: 4.0 proj, avg 3.6
56%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›15%Target share
›5.9Targets
›70%Catch rate
›4.1Model
›4.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
+13%BUF vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 1.4Avg line 3.5Projection 4.0Ceiling 6.5
The ring shows a
56% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
26Ty JohnsonRB, BUF vs LVReceiving yards: 28 proj, avg 26
55%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›2.7Targets
›87%Catch rate
›2.4Receptions
›12.0Yards per catch
›28Model
›28Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
−1%LV vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 25.5Projection 28Ceiling 49
The ring shows a
55% chance he goes over 25.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
89Brock BowersTE, LV vs BUFReceiving yards: 81 proj, avg 76
55%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›25%Target share
›9.7Targets
›69%Catch rate
›6.7Receptions
›12.4Yards per catch
›83Model
›81Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
−8%BUF vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 17Avg line 75.5Projection 81Ceiling 146
The ring shows a
55% chance he goes over 75.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2DJ MooreWR, BUF vs LVReceiving yards: 62 proj, avg 59
53%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›22%Target share
›6.8Targets
›60%Catch rate
›4.1Receptions
›15.5Yards per catch
›63Model
›62Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+1%LV vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 13Avg line 59.5Projection 62Ceiling 112
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 59.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
0Keon ColemanWR, BUF vs LVReceiving yards: 42 proj, avg 40
53%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›4.4Targets
›73%Catch rate
›3.2Receptions
›13.6Yards per catch
›43Model
›42Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+1%LV vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 9Avg line 40.5Projection 42Ceiling 76
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 40.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Khalil ShakirWR, BUF vs LVReceiving yards: 48 proj, avg 47
52%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›5.4Targets
›73%Catch rate
›4.0Receptions
›12.2Yards per catch
›48Model
›48Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+1%LV vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 10Avg line 46.5Projection 48Ceiling 86
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 46.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2Ashton JeantyRB, LV vs BUFRushing yards: 58 proj, avg 58
50%
63.4Projected plays
›39%Run rate
›25.0Team carries
›63%Carry share
›15.8Carries
›3.7Yards per carry
›58Model
›58Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%BUF run D
+5%BUF vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 21Avg line 57.5Projection 58Ceiling 95
The ring shows a
50% chance he goes over 57.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Mike Washington Jr.RB, LV vs BUFRushing yards: 25 proj, avg 25
50%
63.4Projected plays
›39%Run rate
›25.0Team carries
›19%Carry share
›4.8Carries
›5.3Yards per carry
›26Model
›25Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%BUF run D
+5%BUF vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 9Avg line 25.5Projection 25Ceiling 42
The ring shows a
50% chance he goes over 25.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
89Brock BowersTE, LV vs BUFReceptions: 6.6 proj, avg 6.4
50%
63.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›38.4Team pass attempts
›25%Target share
›9.7Targets
›69%Catch rate
›6.7Model
›6.6Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+3%Game script
+7%BUF pass D
−8%BUF vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 3.3Avg line 6.5Projection 6.6Ceiling 9.9
The ring shows a
50% chance he goes over 6.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
86Dalton KincaidTE, BUF vs LVReceptions: 3.3 proj, avg 3.2
42%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›4.1Targets
›82%Catch rate
›3.4Model
›3.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+20%LV vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 1.0Avg line 3.5Projection 3.3Ceiling 5.6
The ring shows a
42% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
26Ty JohnsonRB, BUF vs LVReceptions: 2.3 proj, avg 2.2
41%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›2.7Targets
›87%Catch rate
›2.4Model
›2.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
−1%LV vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.3Ceiling 4.3
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
0Keon ColemanWR, BUF vs LVReceptions: 3.1 proj, avg 3.1
39%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›4.4Targets
›73%Catch rate
›3.2Model
›3.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+1%LV vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 0.9Avg line 3.5Projection 3.1Ceiling 5.4
The ring shows a
39% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2DJ MooreWR, BUF vs LVReceptions: 4.1 proj, avg 4.0
38%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›22%Target share
›6.8Targets
›60%Catch rate
›4.1Model
›4.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+1%LV vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 1.5Avg line 4.5Projection 4.1Ceiling 6.6
The ring shows a
38% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Khalil ShakirWR, BUF vs LVReceptions: 4.0 proj, avg 4.0
37%
61.7Projected plays
›50%Pass rate
›31.1Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›5.4Targets
›73%Catch rate
›4.0Model
›4.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−3%Game script
+4%LV pass D
+1%LV vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 1.4Avg line 4.5Projection 4.0Ceiling 6.5
The ring shows a
37% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Defenses
| Defense | vs RB TDs | vs WR TDs | vs TE TDs | QB rush TDs | Pass yds rank | Rush yds rank | Red zone TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +27% | +32% | −20% | −33% | 31 | 15 | 70% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | −3% | +3% | +49% | +33% | 24 | 28 | 64% |