RB, Indianapolis Colts
20
Seth McGowan
16%
Seth McGowan has a 16% chance to score a touchdown against Tennessee Titans in Week 6, the 157th highest on this week's board. Indianapolis Colts are projected for 25.5 points indoors.
Touchdown breakdown
25.5Projected team points
2.7Expected team TDs
8%Share of team TD chances
−8%TEN defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−4%Calibration vs real results
2.7 × 0.08 × 0.92 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.22 expected TDs = 20% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 16% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 6% | 15% | 29% | 27% |
The matchup
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis ColtsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lucas Oil Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.