TENTennessee Titans18.5projected
1:00 PM ETSun, Oct 18
TEN +285IND -320IND -7O/U 44No weather impact
3days20hrs44min08secINDIndianapolis Colts25.5projected
Lucas Oil StadiumRetractable roof
TurfRetractable roof
72°FTemperature
0 mphWind
0%Rain chance
57.5Projected plays per team
Played indoors. The model applies no weather adjustment.
Touchdown chances
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
Player props
1Cam WardQB, TEN vs INDPassing yards: 203 proj, avg 182
68%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Pass attempts
›5.8Yards per attempt
›211Model
›203Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+4%IND pass defense
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Dome
Floor 146Avg line 182.5Projection 203Ceiling 261
The ring shows a
68% chance he goes over 182.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Wan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN vs INDReceiving yards: 41 proj, avg 35
59%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.9Targets
›73%Catch rate
›5.0Receptions
›8.6Yards per catch
›43Model
›41Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 8Avg line 35.5Projection 41Ceiling 74
The ring shows a
59% chance he goes over 35.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
14Carnell TateWR, TEN vs INDReceiving yards: 63 proj, avg 55
58%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›23%Target share
›8.3Targets
›62%Catch rate
›5.1Receptions
›12.8Yards per catch
›65Model
›63Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 13Avg line 54.5Projection 63Ceiling 112
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 54.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
84Gunnar HelmTE, TEN vs INDReceiving yards: 19 proj, avg 16
57%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.2Targets
›74%Catch rate
›2.3Receptions
›8.2Yards per catch
›19Model
›19Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
+8%IND vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 4Avg line 16.5Projection 19Ceiling 33
The ring shows a
57% chance he goes over 16.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN vs INDReceiving yards: 18 proj, avg 16
56%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.6Targets
›91%Catch rate
›3.2Receptions
›5.8Yards per catch
›19Model
›18Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
+5%IND vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 4Avg line 16.5Projection 18Ceiling 33
The ring shows a
56% chance he goes over 16.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
20Tony PollardRB, TEN vs INDRushing yards: 63 proj, avg 58
56%
57.5Projected plays
›37%Run rate
›21.0Team carries
›67%Carry share
›14.0Carries
›4.6Yards per carry
›65Model
›63Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
−6%Game script
+5%IND run D
+2%IND vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 23Avg line 58.5Projection 63Ceiling 103
The ring shows a
56% chance he goes over 58.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
14Carnell TateWR, TEN vs INDReceptions: 5.0 proj, avg 4.6
56%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›23%Target share
›8.3Targets
›62%Catch rate
›5.1Model
›5.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 2.1Avg line 4.5Projection 5.0Ceiling 7.8
The ring shows a
56% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
5Elic AyomanorWR, TEN vs INDReceiving yards: 30 proj, avg 29
54%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.8Targets
›46%Catch rate
›1.7Receptions
›18.0Yards per catch
›31Model
›30Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 28.5Projection 30Ceiling 54
The ring shows a
54% chance he goes over 28.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Wan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN vs INDReceptions: 4.9 proj, avg 4.4
54%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.9Targets
›73%Catch rate
›5.0Model
›4.9Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 2.0Avg line 4.5Projection 4.9Ceiling 7.7
The ring shows a
54% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
5Elic AyomanorWR, TEN vs INDReceptions: 1.7 proj, avg 1.7
51%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.8Targets
›46%Catch rate
›1.7Model
›1.7Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 0.0Avg line 1.5Projection 1.7Ceiling 3.4
The ring shows a
51% chance he goes over 1.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
28Jonathan TaylorRB, IND vs TENRushing yards: 85 proj, avg 85
49%
61.1Projected plays
›44%Run rate
›27.2Team carries
›71%Carry share
›19.3Carries
›4.4Yards per carry
›85Model
›85Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
+6%Game script
+0%TEN run D
−2%TEN vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 31Avg line 85.5Projection 85Ceiling 139
The ring shows a
49% chance he goes over 85.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2Josh DownsWR, IND vs TENReceptions: 3.6 proj, avg 3.9
49%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›5.8Targets
›61%Catch rate
›3.5Model
›3.6Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−2%TEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 1.2Avg line 3.5Projection 3.6Ceiling 6.1
The ring shows a
49% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
13Laquon TreadwellWR, IND vs TENReceiving yards: 31 proj, avg 31
49%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›11%Target share
›3.7Targets
›57%Catch rate
›2.1Receptions
›14.5Yards per catch
›31Model
›31Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−2%TEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 31.5Projection 31Ceiling 55
The ring shows a
49% chance he goes over 31.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2Josh DownsWR, IND vs TENReceiving yards: 41 proj, avg 44
47%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›5.8Targets
›61%Catch rate
›3.5Receptions
›11.4Yards per catch
›40Model
›41Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−2%TEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 9Avg line 43.5Projection 41Ceiling 74
The ring shows a
47% chance he goes over 43.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Keenan AllenWR, IND vs TENReceiving yards: 34 proj, avg 36
45%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.6Targets
›62%Catch rate
›4.1Receptions
›8.2Yards per catch
›33Model
›34Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−2%TEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 7Avg line 36.5Projection 34Ceiling 61
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 36.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
84Tyler WarrenTE, IND vs TENReceiving yards: 41 proj, avg 45
44%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.6Targets
›74%Catch rate
›4.9Receptions
›8.1Yards per catch
›40Model
›41Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−8%TEN vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 8Avg line 44.5Projection 41Ceiling 74
The ring shows a
44% chance he goes over 44.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
28Jonathan TaylorRB, IND vs TENReceiving yards: 19 proj, avg 22
43%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.2Targets
›71%Catch rate
›2.3Receptions
›8.3Yards per catch
›19Model
›19Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−4%TEN vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 4Avg line 21.5Projection 19Ceiling 35
The ring shows a
43% chance he goes over 21.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
28Jonathan TaylorRB, IND vs TENReceptions: 2.3 proj, avg 2.6
42%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.2Targets
›71%Catch rate
›2.3Model
›2.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−4%TEN vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.3Ceiling 4.3
The ring shows a
42% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Keenan AllenWR, IND vs TENReceptions: 4.2 proj, avg 4.5
41%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.6Targets
›62%Catch rate
›4.1Model
›4.2Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−2%TEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 1.6Avg line 4.5Projection 4.2Ceiling 6.8
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
84Gunnar HelmTE, TEN vs INDReceptions: 2.3 proj, avg 2.2
41%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.2Targets
›74%Catch rate
›2.3Model
›2.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
+8%IND vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.3Ceiling 4.3
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
2Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN vs INDReceptions: 3.2 proj, avg 3.1
40%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.6Targets
›91%Catch rate
›3.2Model
›3.2Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
+5%IND vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 0.9Avg line 3.5Projection 3.2Ceiling 5.5
The ring shows a
40% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Daniel JonesQB, IND vs TENPassing yards: 205 proj, avg 218
39%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Pass attempts
›5.9Yards per attempt
›201Model
›205Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−2%TEN pass defense
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Dome
Floor 148Avg line 217.5Projection 205Ceiling 263
The ring shows a
39% chance he goes over 217.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
84Tyler WarrenTE, IND vs TENReceptions: 5.0 proj, avg 5.4
39%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.6Targets
›74%Catch rate
›4.9Model
›5.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−8%TEN vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 2.1Avg line 5.5Projection 5.0Ceiling 7.9
The ring shows a
39% chance he goes over 5.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
13Laquon TreadwellWR, IND vs TENReceptions: 2.1 proj, avg 2.2
36%
61.1Projected plays
›56%Pass rate
›33.9Team pass attempts
›11%Target share
›3.7Targets
›57%Catch rate
›2.1Model
›2.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−4%Game script
−1%TEN pass D
−2%TEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.3Avg line 2.5Projection 2.1Ceiling 4.0
The ring shows a
36% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Defenses
| Defense | vs RB TDs | vs WR TDs | vs TE TDs | QB rush TDs | Pass yds rank | Rush yds rank | Red zone TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | −11% | −4% | −20% | +0% | 14 | 17 | 56% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +12% | −4% | +21% | +0% | 28 | 27 | 48% |