RB, Dallas Cowboys
32
Tyler Goodson
19%
Tyler Goodson has a 19% chance to score a touchdown against Green Bay Packers in Week 6, the 126th highest on this week's board. Dallas Cowboys are projected for 25.8 points in 58°F with 10 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
25.8Projected team points
2.7Expected team TDs
8%Share of team TD chances
+25%GB defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−6%Calibration vs real results
2.7 × 0.08 × 1.25 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.29 expected TDs = 26% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 19% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | – | 15% | 21% | 5% |
The matchup
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay PackersSun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET. Lambeau Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.