DALDallas Cowboys25.8projected
8:20 PM ETSun, Oct 18
DAL +105GB -116GB -1.5O/U 53Minimal impact
4days04hrs04min07secGBGreen Bay Packers27.3projected
Lambeau FieldOpen air
GrassOpen air
58°FTemperature
10 mph SSWWind
0%Rain chance
61.5Projected plays per team
Conditions look neutral, so no weather adjustment is applied.
Touchdown chances
Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay Packers
Player props
26Kaleb JohnsonRB, GB vs DALRushing yards: 32 proj, avg 27
63%
60.3Projected plays
›33%Run rate
›19.6Team carries
›39%Carry share
›7.6Carries
›4.4Yards per carry
›34Model
›32Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
+2%Game script
+8%DAL run D
+4%DAL vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 12Avg line 26.5Projection 32Ceiling 52
The ring shows a
63% chance he goes over 26.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
32MarShawn LloydRB, GB vs DALRushing yards: 26 proj, avg 22
60%
60.3Projected plays
›33%Run rate
›19.6Team carries
›43%Carry share
›8.5Carries
›3.2Yards per carry
›27Model
›26Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
+2%Game script
+8%DAL run D
+4%DAL vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 9Avg line 22.5Projection 26Ceiling 42
The ring shows a
60% chance he goes over 22.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
33Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL vs GBReceptions: 3.1 proj, avg 2.9
60%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.8Targets
›84%Catch rate
›3.2Model
›3.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
+14%GB vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 0.8Avg line 2.5Projection 3.1Ceiling 5.3
The ring shows a
60% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Jordan LoveQB, GB vs DALPassing yards: 272 proj, avg 259
58%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Pass attempts
›6.8Yards per attempt
›277Model
›272Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass defense
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Dome
Floor 196Avg line 259.5Projection 272Ceiling 349
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 259.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
85Tucker KraftTE, GB vs DALReceiving yards: 56 proj, avg 50
58%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Team pass attempts
›15%Target share
›6.2Targets
›71%Catch rate
›4.4Receptions
›13.2Yards per catch
›59Model
›56Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass D
+3%DAL vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 12Avg line 49.5Projection 56Ceiling 101
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 49.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
33Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL vs GBRushing yards: 68 proj, avg 63
56%
61.5Projected plays
›34%Run rate
›21.2Team carries
›71%Carry share
›15.1Carries
›4.6Yards per carry
›70Model
›68Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−2%Game script
+5%GB run D
+7%GB vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 25Avg line 63.5Projection 68Ceiling 112
The ring shows a
56% chance he goes over 63.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
0Matthew GoldenWR, GB vs DALReceiving yards: 62 proj, avg 58
53%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›6.9Targets
›56%Catch rate
›3.8Receptions
›16.4Yards per catch
›63Model
›62Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass D
+1%DAL vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 13Avg line 58.5Projection 62Ceiling 111
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 58.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
0Matthew GoldenWR, GB vs DALReceptions: 3.8 proj, avg 3.7
53%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›6.9Targets
›56%Catch rate
›3.8Model
›3.8Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass D
+1%DAL vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 1.3Avg line 3.5Projection 3.8Ceiling 6.3
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
87Jake FergusonTE, DAL vs GBReceptions: 3.8 proj, avg 3.7
53%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›5.1Targets
›75%Catch rate
›3.8Model
›3.8Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−2%GB vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 1.3Avg line 3.5Projection 3.8Ceiling 6.3
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
9Christian WatsonWR, GB vs DALReceiving yards: 84 proj, avg 81
52%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›7.0Targets
›65%Catch rate
›4.5Receptions
›18.9Yards per catch
›86Model
›84Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass D
+1%DAL vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 17Avg line 81.5Projection 84Ceiling 152
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 81.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
87Jake FergusonTE, DAL vs GBReceiving yards: 26 proj, avg 26
48%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›5.1Targets
›75%Catch rate
›3.8Receptions
›6.6Yards per catch
›25Model
›26Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−2%GB vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 26.5Projection 26Ceiling 46
The ring shows a
48% chance he goes over 26.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
9Christian WatsonWR, GB vs DALReceptions: 4.5 proj, avg 4.5
47%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›7.0Targets
›65%Catch rate
›4.5Model
›4.5Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass D
+1%DAL vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 1.8Avg line 4.5Projection 4.5Ceiling 7.2
The ring shows a
47% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Dak PrescottQB, DAL vs GBPassing yards: 267 proj, avg 273
47%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Pass attempts
›6.6Yards per attempt
›266Model
›267Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−4%GB pass defense
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Dome
Floor 192Avg line 272.5Projection 267Ceiling 343
The ring shows a
47% chance he goes over 272.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
19Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL vs GBReceiving yards: 35 proj, avg 38
46%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›5.2Targets
›61%Catch rate
›3.2Receptions
›10.9Yards per catch
›35Model
›35Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−4%GB vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 7Avg line 37.5Projection 35Ceiling 64
The ring shows a
46% chance he goes over 37.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
3George PickensWR, DAL vs GBReceiving yards: 71 proj, avg 76
45%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›21%Target share
›8.3Targets
›64%Catch rate
›5.4Receptions
›13.0Yards per catch
›70Model
›71Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−4%GB vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 15Avg line 76.5Projection 71Ceiling 128
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 76.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
88CeeDee LambWR, DAL vs GBReceiving yards: 88 proj, avg 94
45%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›25%Target share
›10.0Targets
›70%Catch rate
›7.0Receptions
›12.4Yards per catch
›86Model
›88Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−4%GB vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 18Avg line 94.5Projection 88Ceiling 158
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 94.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
3George PickensWR, DAL vs GBReceptions: 5.4 proj, avg 5.4
45%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›21%Target share
›8.3Targets
›64%Catch rate
›5.4Model
›5.4Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−4%GB vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 2.4Avg line 5.5Projection 5.4Ceiling 8.3
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 5.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
85Tucker KraftTE, GB vs DALReceptions: 4.3 proj, avg 4.0
44%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Team pass attempts
›15%Target share
›6.2Targets
›71%Catch rate
›4.4Model
›4.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass D
+3%DAL vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 1.7Avg line 4.5Projection 4.3Ceiling 7.0
The ring shows a
44% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
88CeeDee LambWR, DAL vs GBReceptions: 7.0 proj, avg 7.0
40%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›25%Target share
›10.0Targets
›70%Catch rate
›7.0Model
›7.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−4%GB vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 3.6Avg line 7.5Projection 7.0Ceiling 10.4
The ring shows a
40% chance he goes over 7.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
19Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL vs GBReceptions: 3.2 proj, avg 3.2
39%
61.5Projected plays
›66%Pass rate
›40.3Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›5.2Targets
›61%Catch rate
›3.2Model
›3.2Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+1%Game script
−6%GB pass D
−4%GB vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 0.9Avg line 3.5Projection 3.2Ceiling 5.5
The ring shows a
39% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
32MarShawn LloydRB, GB vs DALReceptions: 2.1 proj, avg 2.0
35%
60.3Projected plays
›67%Pass rate
›40.7Team pass attempts
›7%Target share
›2.7Targets
›80%Catch rate
›2.1Model
›2.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+4%Pace
−1%Game script
+2%DAL pass D
+8%DAL vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 0.3Avg line 2.5Projection 2.1Ceiling 4.0
The ring shows a
35% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Defenses
| Defense | vs RB TDs | vs WR TDs | vs TE TDs | QB rush TDs | Pass yds rank | Rush yds rank | Red zone TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | +20% | +3% | +8% | −33% | 21 | 32 | 62% |
| Green Bay Packers | +35% | −11% | −6% | −33% | 5 | 26 | 68% |