WR, Tennessee Titans
4
Wan'Dale Robinson
30%
Wan'Dale Robinson has a 30% chance to score a touchdown against Indianapolis Colts in Week 6, the 59th highest on this week's board. Tennessee Titans are projected for 18.5 points indoors. The model projects receptions 4.9, receiving yards 41.
Touchdown breakdown
18.5Projected team points
1.9Expected team TDs
17%Share of team TD chances
−3%IND defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
2TDs this season
+0%Calibration vs real results
1.9 × 0.17 × 0.97 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.35 expected TDs = 30% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 30% chance to score. Rated solid.Player props
4Wan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN vs INDReceptions: 4.9 proj, avg 4.4
54%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.9Targets
›73%Catch rate
›5.0Model
›4.9Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 2.0Avg line 4.5Projection 4.9Ceiling 7.7
The ring shows a
54% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Wan'Dale RobinsonWR, TEN vs INDReceiving yards: 41 proj, avg 35
59%
57.5Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.5Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.9Targets
›73%Catch rate
›5.0Receptions
›8.6Yards per catch
›43Model
›41Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 8Avg line 35.5Projection 41Ceiling 74
The ring shows a
59% chance he goes over 35.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 53% | 63% | 67% | 75% |
The matchup
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis ColtsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lucas Oil Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.