RB, Carolina Panthers
28
AJ Dillon
11%
AJ Dillon has a 11% chance to score a touchdown against Philadelphia Eagles in Week 6, the 182nd highest on this week's board. Carolina Panthers are projected for 20.5 points in 55°F with 5 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
20.5Projected team points
2.2Expected team TDs
8%Share of team TD chances
−8%PHI defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−2%Calibration vs real results
2.2 × 0.07 × 0.92 × 1.00 × 1.00 =
0.15 expected TDs = 14% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 11% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 6% | 16% | 15% | Bye |
The matchup
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia EaglesSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lincoln Financial Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.