CARCarolina Panthers20.5projected
1:00 PM ETSun, Oct 18
CAR -108PHI -105PHI +0.5O/U 40.5Minimal impact
3days20hrs44min08secPHIPhiladelphia Eagles20.0projected
Lincoln Financial FieldOpen air
GrassOpen air
55°FTemperature
5 mph NWWind
1%Rain chance
62.4Projected plays per team
Conditions look neutral, so no weather adjustment is applied.
Touchdown chances
Carolina Panthers
Philadelphia Eagles
Player props
88Dallas GoedertTE, PHI vs CARReceptions: 4.2 proj, avg 3.9
60%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›16%Target share
›5.6Targets
›77%Catch rate
›4.3Model
›4.2Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
+12%CAR vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 1.6Avg line 3.5Projection 4.2Ceiling 6.8
The ring shows a
60% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
1Jalen HurtsQB, PHI vs CARPassing yards: 203 proj, avg 193
60%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Pass attempts
›5.9Yards per attempt
›207Model
›203Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+2%CAR pass defense
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Dome
Floor 146Avg line 192.5Projection 203Ceiling 261
The ring shows a
60% chance he goes over 192.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
1Jalen HurtsQB, PHI vs CARRushing yards: 28 proj, avg 23
59%
58.9Projected plays
›41%Run rate
›24.0Team carries
›22%Carry share
›5.2Carries
›5.7Yards per carry
›30Model
›28Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
−0%Game script
+7%CAR run D
+21%CAR vs QBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 3Avg line 23.5Projection 28Ceiling 54
The ring shows a
59% chance he goes over 23.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
88Dallas GoedertTE, PHI vs CARReceiving yards: 46 proj, avg 40
59%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›16%Target share
›5.6Targets
›77%Catch rate
›4.3Receptions
›11.2Yards per catch
›48Model
›46Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
+12%CAR vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 9Avg line 39.5Projection 46Ceiling 82
The ring shows a
59% chance he goes over 39.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
26Saquon BarkleyRB, PHI vs CARRushing yards: 62 proj, avg 58
54%
58.9Projected plays
›41%Run rate
›24.0Team carries
›53%Carry share
›12.9Carries
›4.9Yards per carry
›63Model
›62Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
−0%Game script
+7%CAR run D
+2%CAR vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 22Avg line 58.5Projection 62Ceiling 102
The ring shows a
54% chance he goes over 58.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
13John Metchie IIIWR, CAR vs PHIReceiving yards: 30 proj, avg 28
53%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›5.0Targets
›51%Catch rate
›2.6Receptions
›12.0Yards per catch
›31Model
›30Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 28.5Projection 30Ceiling 54
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 28.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
9Makai LemonWR, PHI vs CARReceiving yards: 22 proj, avg 22
53%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›4.8Targets
›65%Catch rate
›3.2Receptions
›7.2Yards per catch
›23Model
›22Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 21.5Projection 22Ceiling 40
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 21.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
80Darius CooperWR, PHI vs CARReceiving yards: 29 proj, avg 28
52%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.3Targets
›64%Catch rate
›2.1Receptions
›14.2Yards per catch
›30Model
›29Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 28.5Projection 29Ceiling 53
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 28.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR vs PHIReceiving yards: 80 proj, avg 78
52%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›20%Target share
›8.0Targets
›64%Catch rate
›5.1Receptions
›15.8Yards per catch
›81Model
›80Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 16Avg line 77.5Projection 80Ceiling 143
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 77.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
13Dontayvion WicksWR, PHI vs CARReceiving yards: 53 proj, avg 52
50%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›6.0Targets
›58%Catch rate
›3.5Receptions
›15.3Yards per catch
›53Model
›53Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 11Avg line 52.5Projection 53Ceiling 95
The ring shows a
50% chance he goes over 52.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
30Chuba HubbardRB, CAR vs PHIReceiving yards: 18 proj, avg 18
50%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›6%Target share
›2.6Targets
›80%Catch rate
›2.1Receptions
›8.3Yards per catch
›17Model
›18Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
−4%PHI vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 4Avg line 17.5Projection 18Ceiling 32
The ring shows a
50% chance he goes over 17.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
18Jalen CokerWR, CAR vs PHIReceiving yards: 50 proj, avg 51
48%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.8Targets
›79%Catch rate
›3.8Receptions
›13.0Yards per catch
›50Model
›50Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 10Avg line 51.5Projection 50Ceiling 90
The ring shows a
48% chance he goes over 51.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
30Chuba HubbardRB, CAR vs PHIRushing yards: 54 proj, avg 55
48%
62.4Projected plays
›35%Run rate
›22.0Team carries
›54%Carry share
›11.9Carries
›4.5Yards per carry
›53Model
›54Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
+1%Game script
+1%PHI run D
−2%PHI vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 19Avg line 55.5Projection 54Ceiling 88
The ring shows a
48% chance he goes over 55.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
13John Metchie IIIWR, CAR vs PHIReceptions: 2.5 proj, avg 2.5
47%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›5.0Targets
›51%Catch rate
›2.6Model
›2.5Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.5Avg line 2.5Projection 2.5Ceiling 4.6
The ring shows a
47% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
13Dontayvion WicksWR, PHI vs CARReceptions: 3.5 proj, avg 3.4
45%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›17%Target share
›6.0Targets
›58%Catch rate
›3.5Model
›3.5Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 1.1Avg line 3.5Projection 3.5Ceiling 5.8
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
88Darren WallerTE, CAR vs PHIReceiving yards: 35 proj, avg 37
45%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.8Targets
›62%Catch rate
›3.0Receptions
›11.3Yards per catch
›34Model
›35Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
−13%PHI vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 7Avg line 37.5Projection 35Ceiling 62
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 37.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
9Bryce YoungQB, CAR vs PHIPassing yards: 243 proj, avg 253
43%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Pass attempts
›5.9Yards per attempt
›240Model
›243Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+1%PHI pass defense
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Dome
Floor 175Avg line 252.5Projection 243Ceiling 312
The ring shows a
43% chance he goes over 252.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR vs PHIReceptions: 5.2 proj, avg 5.3
41%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›20%Target share
›8.0Targets
›64%Catch rate
›5.1Model
›5.2Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 2.3Avg line 5.5Projection 5.2Ceiling 8.1
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 5.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
9Makai LemonWR, PHI vs CARReceptions: 3.1 proj, avg 3.0
38%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›4.8Targets
›65%Catch rate
›3.2Model
›3.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.9Avg line 3.5Projection 3.1Ceiling 5.4
The ring shows a
38% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
39Dameon PierceRB, PHI vs CARReceptions: 2.2 proj, avg 2.0
37%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›16%Target share
›5.5Targets
›41%Catch rate
›2.2Model
›2.2Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
+5%CAR vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.3Avg line 2.5Projection 2.2Ceiling 4.1
The ring shows a
37% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
88Darren WallerTE, CAR vs PHIReceptions: 3.0 proj, avg 3.2
36%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.8Targets
›62%Catch rate
›3.0Model
›3.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
−13%PHI vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.8Avg line 3.5Projection 3.0Ceiling 5.3
The ring shows a
36% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
30Chuba HubbardRB, CAR vs PHIReceptions: 2.1 proj, avg 2.2
36%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›6%Target share
›2.6Targets
›80%Catch rate
›2.1Model
›2.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
−4%PHI vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 0.3Avg line 2.5Projection 2.1Ceiling 4.0
The ring shows a
36% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
18Jalen CokerWR, CAR vs PHIReceptions: 3.9 proj, avg 4.2
35%
62.4Projected plays
›65%Pass rate
›40.5Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.8Targets
›79%Catch rate
›3.8Model
›3.9Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−5%Pace
−0%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 1.4Avg line 4.5Projection 3.9Ceiling 6.4
The ring shows a
35% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
80Darius CooperWR, PHI vs CARReceptions: 2.1 proj, avg 2.0
34%
58.9Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.9Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.3Targets
›64%Catch rate
›2.1Model
›2.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+0%Game script
+3%CAR pass D
−8%CAR vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.2Avg line 2.5Projection 2.1Ceiling 3.9
The ring shows a
34% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Defenses
| Defense | vs RB TDs | vs WR TDs | vs TE TDs | QB rush TDs | Pass yds rank | Rush yds rank | Red zone TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | +12% | −21% | +30% | +42% | 22 | 31 | 53% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | −11% | +11% | −33% | +65% | 26 | 18 | 43% |