WR, New Orleans Saints
18
Bryce Lance
16%
Bryce Lance has a 16% chance to score a touchdown against New York Giants in Week 6, the 156th highest on this week's board. New Orleans Saints are projected for 23.3 points in 55°F with 7 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
23.3Projected team points
2.4Expected team TDs
7%Share of team TD chances
+2%NYG defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
+0%Calibration vs real results
2.4 × 0.07 × 1.02 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.17 expected TDs = 16% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 16% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 79% | 72% | 85% | 42% |
The matchup
New Orleans Saints at New York GiantsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. MetLife Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.