WR, Baltimore Ravens
81
Devontez Walker
13%
Devontez Walker has a 13% chance to score a touchdown against Cleveland Browns in Week 6, the 173rd highest on this week's board. Baltimore Ravens are projected for 23.8 points in 58°F with 9 mph wind. The model projects receiving yards 23.
Touchdown breakdown
23.8Projected team points
2.5Expected team TDs
6%Share of team TD chances
+13%CLE defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+4%Usage trend
1TDs this season
−3%Calibration vs real results
2.5 × 0.06 × 1.13 × 1.00 × 1.04 =
0.18 expected TDs = 16% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 13% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Player props
81Devontez WalkerWR, BAL vs CLEReceiving yards: 23 proj, avg 23
50%
59.6Projected plays
›46%Pass rate
›27.6Team pass attempts
›6%Target share
›1.6Targets
›67%Catch rate
›1.1Receptions
›21.3Yards per catch
›24Model
›23Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−4%Game script
−2%CLE pass D
+7%CLE vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 23.5Projection 23Ceiling 42
The ring shows a
50% chance he goes over 23.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | 29% | 27% | 69% | 59% |
The matchup
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland BrownsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Huntington Bank Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.