WR, Cleveland Browns
0
Isaiah Bond
12%
Isaiah Bond has a 12% chance to score a touchdown against Baltimore Ravens in Week 6, the 240th highest on this week's board. Cleveland Browns are projected for 18.5 points in 59°F with 9 mph wind. The model projects receiving yards 25.
Touchdown breakdown
18.5Projected team points
1.9Expected team TDs
5%Share of team TD chances
−13%BAL defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
+3%Calibration vs real results
1.9 × 0.05 × 0.87 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.09 expected TDs = 9% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 12% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Player props
0Isaiah BondWR, CLE vs BALReceiving yards: 25 proj, avg 24
51%
58.2Projected plays
›59%Pass rate
›34.6Team pass attempts
›9%Target share
›3.3Targets
›45%Catch rate
›1.5Receptions
›17.0Yards per catch
›25Model
›25Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+0%Pace
+2%Game script
+1%BAL pass D
−8%BAL vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 24.5Projection 25Ceiling 44
The ring shows a
51% chance he goes over 24.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 72% |
The matchup
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland BrownsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Huntington Bank Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.