WR, Tennessee Titans
17
Chimere Dike
12%
Chimere Dike has a 12% chance to score a touchdown against Indianapolis Colts in Week 6, the 237th highest on this week's board. Tennessee Titans are projected for 18.8 points indoors. The model projects receptions 2.4, receiving yards 22.
Touchdown breakdown
18.8Projected team points
2.0Expected team TDs
4%Share of team TD chances
−3%IND defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
+3%Calibration vs real results
2.0 × 0.04 × 0.97 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.09 expected TDs = 8% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 12% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Player props
17Chimere DikeWR, TEN vs INDReceptions: 2.4 proj, avg 2.2
44%
57.6Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.6Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.6Targets
›70%Catch rate
›2.5Model
›2.4Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.4Ceiling 4.4
The ring shows a
44% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Chimere DikeWR, TEN vs INDReceiving yards: 22 proj, avg 19
58%
57.6Projected plays
›63%Pass rate
›36.6Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.6Targets
›70%Catch rate
›2.5Receptions
›9.3Yards per catch
›23Model
›22Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+5%Pace
+4%Game script
+6%IND pass D
−2%IND vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 19.5Projection 22Ceiling 40
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 19.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 17% |
The matchup
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis ColtsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lucas Oil Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.