RB, Buffalo Bills
7
Ray Davis
15%
Ray Davis has a 15% chance to score a touchdown against Las Vegas Raiders in Week 6, the 189th highest on this week's board. Buffalo Bills are projected for 29.0 points indoors.
Touchdown breakdown
29.0Projected team points
3.0Expected team TDs
8%Share of team TD chances
−2%LV defense vs RBs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−6%Calibration vs real results
3.0 × 0.07 × 0.98 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.24 expected TDs = 21% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 15% chance to score. Rated long shot.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9% | 14% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
The matchup
Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas RaidersSun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET. Allegiant Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.