WR, New York Jets
87
Sterling Shepard
13%
Sterling Shepard has a 13% chance to score a touchdown against New England Patriots in Week 6, the 217th highest on this week's board. New York Jets are projected for 18.3 points in 51°F with 7 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
18.3Projected team points
1.9Expected team TDs
9%Share of team TD chances
+2%NE defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
−4%Calibration vs real results
1.9 × 0.09 × 1.02 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.18 expected TDs = 17% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 13% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | – | 45% | 53% | – |
The matchup
New York Jets at New England PatriotsSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Gillette Stadium. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.