WR, Carolina Panthers
87
Brycen Tremayne
13%
Brycen Tremayne has a 13% chance to score a touchdown against Philadelphia Eagles in Week 6, the 216th highest on this week's board. Carolina Panthers are projected for 21.3 points in 55°F with 5 mph wind. The model projects receptions 2.1, receiving yards 33.
Touchdown breakdown
21.3Projected team points
2.2Expected team TDs
5%Share of team TD chances
+8%PHI defense vs WRs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
+1%Calibration vs real results
2.2 × 0.05 × 1.08 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.13 expected TDs = 12% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 13% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Player props
87Brycen TremayneWR, CAR vs PHIReceptions: 2.1 proj, avg 2.1
35%
62.2Projected plays
›64%Pass rate
›39.6Team pass attempts
›7%Target share
›2.8Targets
›74%Catch rate
›2.1Model
›2.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−6%Pace
−2%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.2Avg line 2.5Projection 2.1Ceiling 4.0
The ring shows a
35% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
87Brycen TremayneWR, CAR vs PHIReceiving yards: 33 proj, avg 31
53%
62.2Projected plays
›64%Pass rate
›39.6Team pass attempts
›7%Target share
›2.8Targets
›74%Catch rate
›2.1Receptions
›15.9Yards per catch
›33Model
›33Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−6%Pace
−2%Game script
+5%PHI pass D
+4%PHI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 7Avg line 31.5Projection 33Ceiling 59
The ring shows a
53% chance he goes over 31.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 17% | 81% | 92% | Bye |
The matchup
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia EaglesSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lincoln Financial Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.