TE, Philadelphia Eagles
86
Zach Ertz
14%
Zach Ertz has a 14% chance to score a touchdown against Carolina Panthers in Week 6, the 212th highest on this week's board. Philadelphia Eagles are projected for 17.8 points in 55°F with 5 mph wind.
Touchdown breakdown
17.8Projected team points
1.9Expected team TDs
5%Share of team TD chances
+21%CAR defense vs TEs
+0%Weather
+8%Usage trend
0TDs this season
+3%Calibration vs real results
1.9 × 0.04 × 1.21 × 1.00 × 1.08 =
0.11 expected TDs = 10% raw, calibrated against 4,205 past player-games to 14% chance to score. Rated dart throw.Snap share
| Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | – | 38% | 21% | 11% |
The matchup
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia EaglesSun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Lincoln Financial Field. Full game breakdown, every player's TD chance and props.