ARIArizona Cardinals19.5projected
4:05 PM ETSun, Oct 18
ARI +610LA -715LA -12.5O/U 51.5No weather impact
3days23hrs49min07secLALos Angeles Rams32.0projected
SoFi StadiumFixed roof
TurfFixed roof
72°FTemperature
0 mphWind
0%Rain chance
68.2Projected plays per team
Played indoors. The model applies no weather adjustment.
Touchdown chances
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
Player props
23Kyren WilliamsRB, LA vs ARIRushing yards: 83 proj, avg 71
62%
69.4Projected plays
›39%Run rate
›27.3Team carries
›62%Carry share
›16.9Carries
›5.2Yards per carry
›88Model
›83Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+13%Game script
+3%ARI run D
−1%ARI vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 30Avg line 70.5Projection 83Ceiling 137
The ring shows a
62% chance he goes over 70.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
7Jacoby BrissettQB, ARI vs LAPassing yards: 243 proj, avg 229
60%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Pass attempts
›5.3Yards per attempt
›248Model
›243Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−4%LA pass defense
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Dome
Floor 175Avg line 229.5Projection 243Ceiling 312
The ring shows a
60% chance he goes over 229.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
12Puka NacuaWR, LA vs ARIReceiving yards: 130 proj, avg 109
60%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›29%Target share
›12.1Targets
›80%Catch rate
›9.7Receptions
›14.1Yards per catch
›137Model
›130Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
+16%ARI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 27Avg line 109.5Projection 130Ceiling 233
The ring shows a
60% chance he goes over 109.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Konata MumpfieldWR, LA vs ARIReceiving yards: 23 proj, avg 19
59%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›7%Target share
›3.0Targets
›47%Catch rate
›1.4Receptions
›17.1Yards per catch
›24Model
›23Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
+16%ARI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 19.5Projection 23Ceiling 41
The ring shows a
59% chance he goes over 19.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Davante AdamsWR, LA vs ARIReceiving yards: 86 proj, avg 76
58%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›8.2Targets
›62%Catch rate
›5.1Receptions
›17.6Yards per catch
›89Model
›86Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
+16%ARI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 18Avg line 75.5Projection 86Ceiling 154
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 75.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
89Tyler HigbeeTE, LA vs ARIReceiving yards: 49 proj, avg 44
57%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›5.1Targets
›80%Catch rate
›4.0Receptions
›12.6Yards per catch
›51Model
›49Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
+8%ARI vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 10Avg line 43.5Projection 49Ceiling 88
The ring shows a
57% chance he goes over 43.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
89Tyler HigbeeTE, LA vs ARIReceptions: 4.0 proj, avg 3.9
57%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›5.1Targets
›80%Catch rate
›4.0Model
›4.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
+8%ARI vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 1.4Avg line 3.5Projection 4.0Ceiling 6.6
The ring shows a
57% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
24Blake CorumRB, LA vs ARIRushing yards: 43 proj, avg 39
57%
69.4Projected plays
›39%Run rate
›27.3Team carries
›31%Carry share
›8.5Carries
›5.2Yards per carry
›44Model
›43Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
+13%Game script
+3%ARI run D
−1%ARI vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 16Avg line 39.5Projection 43Ceiling 71
The ring shows a
57% chance he goes over 39.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
14Michael WilsonWR, ARI vs LAReceiving yards: 65 proj, avg 58
56%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›22%Target share
›10.3Targets
›60%Catch rate
›6.2Receptions
›10.7Yards per catch
›67Model
›65Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
+7%LA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 13Avg line 58.5Projection 65Ceiling 116
The ring shows a
56% chance he goes over 58.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
14Michael WilsonWR, ARI vs LAReceptions: 6.0 proj, avg 5.3
56%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›22%Target share
›10.3Targets
›60%Catch rate
›6.2Model
›6.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
+7%LA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 2.9Avg line 5.5Projection 6.0Ceiling 9.1
The ring shows a
56% chance he goes over 5.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
9Matthew StaffordQB, LA vs ARIPassing yards: 308 proj, avg 299
55%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Pass attempts
›7.4Yards per attempt
›311Model
›308Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+7%ARI pass defense
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Dome
Floor 221Avg line 299.5Projection 308Ceiling 394
The ring shows a
55% chance he goes over 299.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Kendrick BourneWR, ARI vs LAReceiving yards: 46 proj, avg 45
52%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›5.7Targets
›79%Catch rate
›4.5Receptions
›10.4Yards per catch
›47Model
›46Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
+7%LA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 10Avg line 44.5Projection 46Ceiling 83
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 44.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
23Kyren WilliamsRB, LA vs ARIReceiving yards: 31 proj, avg 31
52%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.9Targets
›80%Catch rate
›3.9Receptions
›8.0Yards per catch
›32Model
›31Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
−1%ARI vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 30.5Projection 31Ceiling 56
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 30.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
12Puka NacuaWR, LA vs ARIReceptions: 9.5 proj, avg 9.0
48%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›29%Target share
›12.1Targets
›80%Catch rate
›9.7Model
›9.5Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
+16%ARI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 5.6Avg line 9.5Projection 9.5Ceiling 13.4
The ring shows a
48% chance he goes over 9.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
85Trey McBrideTE, ARI vs LAReceiving yards: 63 proj, avg 66
46%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›25%Target share
›11.5Targets
›72%Catch rate
›8.2Receptions
›7.5Yards per catch
›62Model
›63Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
−8%LA vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 13Avg line 66.5Projection 63Ceiling 112
The ring shows a
46% chance he goes over 66.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Kendrick BourneWR, ARI vs LAReceptions: 4.4 proj, avg 4.2
46%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›5.7Targets
›79%Catch rate
›4.5Model
›4.4Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
+7%LA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 1.7Avg line 4.5Projection 4.4Ceiling 7.1
The ring shows a
46% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI vs LARushing yards: 46 proj, avg 49
45%
68.2Projected plays
›32%Run rate
›21.6Team carries
›56%Carry share
›12.2Carries
›3.7Yards per carry
›45Model
›46Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
−12%Game script
+4%LA run D
−4%LA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 17Avg line 49.5Projection 46Ceiling 76
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 49.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
85Trey McBrideTE, ARI vs LAReceptions: 8.2 proj, avg 8.0
43%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›25%Target share
›11.5Targets
›72%Catch rate
›8.2Model
›8.2Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
−8%LA vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 4.5Avg line 8.5Projection 8.2Ceiling 11.8
The ring shows a
43% chance he goes over 8.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
22Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI vs LARushing yards: 21 proj, avg 24
43%
68.2Projected plays
›32%Run rate
›21.6Team carries
›28%Carry share
›6.0Carries
›3.5Yards per carry
›21Model
›21Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
−12%Game script
+4%LA run D
−4%LA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 8Avg line 23.5Projection 21Ceiling 35
The ring shows a
43% chance he goes over 23.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
22Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI vs LAReceptions: 2.3 proj, avg 2.4
41%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›5%Target share
›2.5Targets
›92%Catch rate
›2.3Model
›2.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
−7%LA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
−6%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.3Ceiling 4.3
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
4Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI vs LAReceptions: 2.3 proj, avg 2.2
41%
68.2Projected plays
›68%Pass rate
›46.6Team pass attempts
›7%Target share
›3.1Targets
›76%Catch rate
›2.3Model
›2.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+3%Pace
+7%Game script
−7%LA pass D
−7%LA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.3Ceiling 4.2
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Davante AdamsWR, LA vs ARIReceptions: 5.1 proj, avg 5.0
39%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›8.2Targets
›62%Catch rate
›5.1Model
›5.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
+16%ARI vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 2.2Avg line 5.5Projection 5.1Ceiling 7.9
The ring shows a
39% chance he goes over 5.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
23Kyren WilliamsRB, LA vs ARIReceptions: 4.0 proj, avg 4.1
37%
69.4Projected plays
›61%Pass rate
›42.1Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.9Targets
›80%Catch rate
›3.9Model
›4.0Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
+1%Pace
−7%Game script
+4%ARI pass D
−1%ARI vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+2%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 1.4Avg line 4.5Projection 4.0Ceiling 6.5
The ring shows a
37% chance he goes over 4.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Defenses
| Defense | vs RB TDs | vs WR TDs | vs TE TDs | QB rush TDs | Pass yds rank | Rush yds rank | Red zone TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | −3% | +40% | +21% | +0% | 25 | 23 | 58% |
| Los Angeles Rams | −18% | +18% | −20% | +33% | 2 | 24 | 58% |