SEASeattle Seahawks21.5projected
8:15 PM ETThu, Oct 15
SEA -140DEN +126DEN +2.5O/U 40.5Minimal impact
1days03hrs59min08secDENDenver Broncos19.0projected
Empower Field at Mile HighOpen air
GrassOpen air
51°FTemperature
6 mph NWind
0%Rain chance
57.6Projected plays per team
Conditions look neutral, so no weather adjustment is applied.
Touchdown chances
Seattle Seahawks
Denver Broncos
Player props
12RJ HarveyRB, DEN vs SEAReceptions: 4.1 proj, avg 3.9
58%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›4.8Targets
›86%Catch rate
›4.2Model
›4.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−1%SEA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 1.5Avg line 3.5Projection 4.1Ceiling 6.7
The ring shows a
58% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
23Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA vs DENRushing yards: 55 proj, avg 50
57%
57.6Projected plays
›47%Run rate
›27.0Team carries
›57%Carry share
›15.4Carries
›3.7Yards per carry
›57Model
›55Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
+2%Game script
+6%DEN run D
+1%DEN vs RBs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 20Avg line 50.5Projection 55Ceiling 91
The ring shows a
57% chance he goes over 50.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
88AJ BarnerTE, SEA vs DENReceptions: 2.8 proj, avg 2.7
52%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›4.1Targets
›69%Catch rate
›2.8Model
›2.8Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
+3%DEN vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.6Avg line 2.5Projection 2.8Ceiling 4.9
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
12RJ HarveyRB, DEN vs SEARushing yards: 23 proj, avg 23
52%
56.8Projected plays
›40%Run rate
›22.8Team carries
›28%Carry share
›6.4Carries
›3.6Yards per carry
›23Model
›23Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
−2%Game script
−3%SEA run D
−1%SEA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 8Avg line 22.5Projection 23Ceiling 38
The ring shows a
52% chance he goes over 22.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
88AJ BarnerTE, SEA vs DENReceiving yards: 27 proj, avg 27
51%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›13%Target share
›4.1Targets
›69%Catch rate
›2.8Receptions
›9.7Yards per catch
›27Model
›27Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
+3%DEN vs TEs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 26.5Projection 27Ceiling 49
The ring shows a
51% chance he goes over 26.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
27J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN vs SEARushing yards: 59 proj, avg 58
51%
56.8Projected plays
›40%Run rate
›22.8Team carries
›63%Carry share
›14.3Carries
›4.1Yards per carry
›59Model
›59Final rushing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
−2%Game script
−3%SEA run D
−1%SEA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 21Avg line 58.5Projection 59Ceiling 97
The ring shows a
51% chance he goes over 58.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
22Rashid ShaheedWR, SEA vs DENReceptions: 1.7 proj, avg 1.8
50%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›3.5Targets
›46%Catch rate
›1.6Model
›1.7Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
−4%DEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 0.0Avg line 1.5Projection 1.7Ceiling 3.3
The ring shows a
50% chance he goes over 1.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
19Marvin Mims Jr.WR, DEN vs SEAReceiving yards: 17 proj, avg 17
49%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.3Targets
›70%Catch rate
›2.3Receptions
›7.3Yards per catch
›17Model
›17Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 4Avg line 17.5Projection 17Ceiling 31
The ring shows a
49% chance he goes over 17.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN vs SEAReceptions: 3.6 proj, avg 3.6
49%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.5Targets
›56%Catch rate
›3.6Model
›3.6Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 1.2Avg line 3.5Projection 3.6Ceiling 6.0
The ring shows a
49% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
12RJ HarveyRB, DEN vs SEAReceiving yards: 27 proj, avg 27
48%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›14%Target share
›4.8Targets
›86%Catch rate
›4.2Receptions
›6.4Yards per catch
›27Model
›27Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−1%SEA vs RBs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 27.5Projection 27Ceiling 48
The ring shows a
48% chance he goes over 27.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
17Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN vs SEAReceiving yards: 39 proj, avg 41
47%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›19%Target share
›6.5Targets
›56%Catch rate
›3.6Receptions
›10.5Yards per catch
›38Model
›39Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 8Avg line 40.5Projection 39Ceiling 69
The ring shows a
47% chance he goes over 40.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Bo NixQB, DEN vs SEAPassing yards: 202 proj, avg 206
47%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Pass attempts
›5.9Yards per attempt
›201Model
›202Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−5%SEA pass defense
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Dome
Floor 145Avg line 205.5Projection 202Ceiling 259
The ring shows a
47% chance he goes over 205.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
14Courtland SuttonWR, DEN vs SEAReceiving yards: 34 proj, avg 36
46%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›18%Target share
›6.0Targets
›52%Catch rate
›3.1Receptions
›10.9Yards per catch
›34Model
›34Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 7Avg line 36.5Projection 34Ceiling 62
The ring shows a
46% chance he goes over 36.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
1Evan EngramTE, DEN vs SEAReceptions: 2.5 proj, avg 2.5
46%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.0Targets
›62%Catch rate
›2.5Model
›2.5Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 0.5Avg line 2.5Projection 2.5Ceiling 4.5
The ring shows a
46% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Cooper KuppWR, SEA vs DENReceiving yards: 28 proj, avg 30
45%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›3.6Targets
›68%Catch rate
›2.4Receptions
›11.4Yards per catch
›28Model
›28Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
−4%DEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 6Avg line 30.5Projection 28Ceiling 51
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 30.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
1Evan EngramTE, DEN vs SEAReceiving yards: 24 proj, avg 26
45%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›4.0Targets
›62%Catch rate
›2.5Receptions
›9.6Yards per catch
›24Model
›24Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs TEs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 5Avg line 26.5Projection 24Ceiling 44
The ring shows a
45% chance he goes over 26.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
10Cooper KuppWR, SEA vs DENReceptions: 2.4 proj, avg 2.5
44%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›3.6Targets
›68%Catch rate
›2.4Model
›2.4Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
−4%DEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
+3%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.4Ceiling 4.4
The ring shows a
44% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
11Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR, SEA vs DENReceiving yards: 100 proj, avg 112
42%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›30%Target share
›9.1Targets
›72%Catch rate
›6.6Receptions
›14.6Yards per catch
›96Model
›100Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
−4%DEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 21Avg line 112.5Projection 100Ceiling 179
The ring shows a
42% chance he goes over 112.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
14Sam DarnoldQB, SEA vs DENPassing yards: 204 proj, avg 214
41%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Pass attempts
›6.6Yards per attempt
›201Model
›204Final passing yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−2%DEN pass defense
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Dome
Floor 146Avg line 213.5Projection 204Ceiling 261
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 213.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
22Rashid ShaheedWR, SEA vs DENReceiving yards: 17 proj, avg 19
41%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›12%Target share
›3.5Targets
›46%Catch rate
›1.6Receptions
›10.0Yards per catch
›16Model
›17Final receiving yards (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
−4%DEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 4Avg line 19.5Projection 17Ceiling 31
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 19.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a normal distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
19Marvin Mims Jr.WR, DEN vs SEAReceptions: 2.3 proj, avg 2.2
41%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›10%Target share
›3.3Targets
›70%Catch rate
›2.3Model
›2.3Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+6%Usage trend
Floor 0.4Avg line 2.5Projection 2.3Ceiling 4.2
The ring shows a
41% chance he goes over 2.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
14Courtland SuttonWR, DEN vs SEAReceptions: 3.1 proj, avg 3.1
38%
56.8Projected plays
›60%Pass rate
›34.0Team pass attempts
›18%Target share
›6.0Targets
›52%Catch rate
›3.1Model
›3.1Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−0%Pace
+1%Game script
−8%SEA pass D
−2%SEA vs WRs
+0%Weather
+1%Home field
+0%Surface
+0%Usage trend
Floor 0.9Avg line 3.5Projection 3.1Ceiling 5.4
The ring shows a
38% chance he goes over 3.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.
11Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR, SEA vs DENReceptions: 6.7 proj, avg 7.2
36%
57.6Projected plays
›53%Pass rate
›30.6Team pass attempts
›30%Target share
›9.1Targets
›72%Catch rate
›6.6Model
›6.7Final receptions (75% model, 25% avg)
−2%Pace
−2%Game script
−4%DEN pass D
−4%DEN vs WRs
+0%Weather
+0%Home field
+0%Surface
−3%Usage trend
Floor 3.4Avg line 7.5Projection 6.7Ceiling 10.0
The ring shows a
36% chance he goes over 7.5, the half-point line nearest his season average. Projections use a Poisson distribution; the range covers the middle 80% of outcomes.Defenses
| Defense | vs RB TDs | vs WR TDs | vs TE TDs | QB rush TDs | Pass yds rank | Rush yds rank | Red zone TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | −3% | −4% | −6% | −33% | 1 | 11 | 64% |
| Denver Broncos | +5% | −11% | +8% | +0% | 9 | 29 | 40% |